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The “delta award redeposit fee covid” is a travel blog that talks about how to spend miles and book cancellable trips. Delta has introduced new rules, so it’s important to read up on the latest updates before booking your next trip.
Right now, all travel is up in the air; only spend miles and book refundable trips.
on December 20, 2021 by Gary Leff
I continue to travel and make travel arrangements. But I’m trying my best to arrange cancellable trips and utilize miles wherever feasible. The next several months are going to be a toss-up. I’m not predicting what will happen, but I live my life on the basis of probability and make the best choices I can with the information I have at the time. And for the time being, I’m allowing myself as much leeway as possible.
What I mean is that many individuals seemed to have calmed down after the first panic about the Omicron variant around Thanksgiving, when they still seemed to believe that prohibiting travel from South Africa would somehow stop it from spreading (it was already spreading in the U.S. at that point). And I don’t believe we’ve really internalized what the following several months may (or may not) entail.
I say “could” because we’re still not sure what to make of Omicron. But we won’t know what to make of it until it’s occurred, so…
- We know it spreads quite quickly, with some estimates stating that it doubles every two days.
- We know that it infects individuals who have had previous infections or vaccinations.
- We know that it seems to result in fewer individuals being admitted to hospitals.
- And we know that, based on early indicators, it has already peaked and is declining in the Johannesburg area, where it was initially discovered.
Case incidence of confirmed #COVID19 cases in Gauteng is now on the fall, having peaked at 67 new cases per 100k, 90 percent of the delta wave high, and presently displaying a halving time of 11 days. #Omicron #OmicronVariant #Gauteng #Covid 19 pic.twitter.com/XLQbHZ1XaI #Omicron #OmicronVariant #Gauteng #Covid 19
December 18, 2021 — Ridhwaan Suliman (@rid1tweets)
In the United Kingdom and Denmark, Omicron has taken control. Although the European CDC anticipates early January, it will most likely be the prevalent variety throughout Europe next week. We already don’t have enough testing in the United States; we sequence a lot more than we used to, but not nearly as much as the United Kingdom and Denmark. It’ll be here in a big manner before you know it.
Even if the variety is milder, and despite community immunity, the sheer volume of cases might overwhelm hospitals. Of course, the hope is that the South African statistics that reveals Omicron’s hospitalization rate is 1/10th (2%) of Delta’s (20%) remains true.
Even yet, with the flu vaccine being so poorly matched to the virus that is really circulating this year, there may be additional hospital stress. Your children may be returning to Zoom School in the Northeast and California.
Perhaps it starts and stops abruptly. It’s unclear why things seem to be changing so swiftly there; maybe everyone was already infected (and there was no testing), perhaps not everyone is vulnerable, perhaps it flows across a linked network, and there will be another wave. However, if it infects 1% or more of a population every day, it can’t keep continuing for that long statistically until the individual variant’s immunity wears out.
- The majority of us will be alright. Particularly if we’ve been given a boost. However, if enough individuals are infected, the overall number of people who are not OK will rise dramatically. And we’re not ready for it yet, with regulations designed mostly to allow us to make excuses afterwards (‘see? I tried’).
Even for the most susceptible groups, we’ve basically abandoned the concept of a variant-specific booster before the main wave. According to Dr. Fauci, the FDA will only consider it if booster efficacy falls below 50%. That hasn’t happened. Of course, it’s too late after it’s already been done.
I’ve been given a lift. I’m still on the road. Because I reside in Central Texas, I continue to eat outside. I was dismayed to discover that the 1/10th (3 microgram) dosage being studied for children under the age of 5 fails to elicit a strong enough immune response, putting us months away from being able to protect youngsters, who are, of course, at lesser danger from the virus than adults.
Given the dangers, the travel questions are:
- What new border restrictions could be implemented, preventing you from visiting?
- What additional activity limitations (lockdowns) may be implemented, making it impossible to go?
- What sites will have the highest concentration of virus, making them too dangerous for you to visit?
There seems to be a lot of uncertainty over the next 8 weeks.
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American airlines has announced that they will be changing their policy on domestic flights. The change is going to affect how you can book your travel. Reference: american airlines covid policy domestic.
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